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Finance

Futures fair value (cost of carry) calculator

Theoretical futures price implied by the spot price, financing rate and yield.

What this calculator does

Futures fair value (cost of carry) works out theoretical futures price implied by the spot price, financing rate and yield. Enter your own figures above and the answer updates as you type: nothing is fixed in the code, so the result reflects exactly the numbers you supply.

The formula this calculator evaluates is printed under the tool and explained below, so you can check the working by hand or reuse it in a spreadsheet.

The formula

FormulaF = S · e^((r − q)·T) the cost-of-carry model, with r = financing rate, q = dividend / convenience yield, T = time to expiry

The inputs explained

FieldWhat to enter
Spot price ($)A number, measured in your currency. Starts at 5000.
Risk-free / financing rate (%)A number, measured in %. Starts at 5.
Dividend yield (or storage cost, entered negative) (%)A number, measured in %. Starts at 1.5.
Time to expiry (years)A number, measured in years. Starts at 0.25.
Actual market futures price (optional) ($)A number, measured in your currency. Starts at 5050.

Worked examples

Every figure in the tables below is produced by this page’s own calculator at build time, so the numbers and the tool always agree. Select any row to load that scenario.

How the answer changes with spot price

Every other input is held at the calculator’s starting values while spot price varies. Select any row to load that scenario into the calculator.

How the answer changes with spot price
Spot price ($)Fair value of the futures contractBasis (fair value − spot)Annualised cost of carry
2,500$2,521.97$21.973.50%
3,750$3,782.96$32.963.50%
5,000$5,043.94$43.943.50%
7,500$7,565.91$65.913.50%
10,000$10,087.88$87.883.50%
15,000$15,131.83$131.833.50%